Implications of the 2022 Russo-Ukrainian War
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RUSSO - UKRAINIAN WAR: UKRAINIAN EXISTENTIAL PREDICAMENT AND UNCERTAINTY The Russo-Ukrainian war overwhelmingly undermined international geopolitical order. The Russian Federation has been implementing its everlasting imperial and expansionist doctrine, disguised with ‘a historic mission’ of protecting the so-called Pax Russica (Russian-ness, Ruskii Mir) in the former Soviet-era-incorporated and annexed ethno-national East-European entities. The internationally-recognized independence of these post-Soviet-era states (former Soviet republics) never have been a subject of serious consideration for the Russian Federation. It pursued a preferred a pattern of “fraternal” client-states which would prospectively not seek integration in European Union. The real Ukrainian sovereignty meant de facto independence from Russia and as such by no means would fit with the criteria set the contemporaneous Russian expansionism.
The gop's pro russian caucus lost, now Ukraine has to Win, 2022 russian in
Anne Applebaum writes in the Atlantic:
It’s not too late, because it’s never too late. No outcomes are ever preordained, nothing is ever over, and you can always affect what happens tomorrow by making the right choices today. The U.S. Congress is finally making one of those right choices. Soon, American weapons and ammunition will once again start flowing to Ukraine.
But delays do have a price. By dawdling for so many months, by heading down the blind alley of border reform before turning back, congressional Republicans who blocked weapons and ammunition for Ukraine did an enormous amount of damage, some of it irreparable. Over the past six months, Ukraine lost territory, lives, and infrastructure. If Ukraine had not been deprived of air defense, the city of Kharkiv might still have most of its power plants. People who have died in the near-daily bombardment of Odesa might still be alive. Ukrainian soldiers who spent weeks at the front lines rationing ammunition might not be so demoralized.
The delay has changed American politics too. Only a minority of House Republicans, including Speaker Mike Johnson, joined most Democrats to approve $60 billion in aid yesterday. What is now clearly a pro-Russia Republican caucus has consolidated inside Congress. The lesson is clear: Anyone who seeks to manipulate the foreign policy of the United States, whether the tin-pot autocrat in Hungary or the Communist Party of China, now knows that a carefully designed propaganda campaign, when targeted at the right people, can succeed well beyond what anyone once thought possible. From the first days of the 2022 Russian invasion, President Vladimir Putin has been trying to conquer Ukraine through psychological games as well as military force. He needed to persuade Americans, Europeans, and above all Ukrainians that victory was impossible, that the only alternative was surrender, and that the Ukrainian state would disappear in due course.
Illustration: Peter Schrank for the Economist: Russia will be grasping Europe if Ukraine lost
BREAKING news
GEO-POLITCAL EVENTS THAT MATTER
Published by Vladimir Melamed
· · Our Lviv after the Russian aerial attack
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The number of dead in Lviv increased to 7. There are three children among them https://hromadske.ua/.../230662-u-lvovi-znayshly-shche... · See original · Rate this translation
У Львові знайшли ще чотирьох загиблих. Зеленський відреагував
04 вересня 2024 08:56
Унаслідок російського удару по Львову кількість загиблих зросла до семи людей.
Про це повідомили голова обласної військової адміністрації Максим Козицький та міський голова Андрій Садовий.
Водночас кількість постраждалих зросла до 38 людей. «Чорний день для нашої області», — написав Козицький.
Раніше також було відомо про загибель дівчинки, чоловіка та жінки, яка працювала медсестрою-акушеркою в одній із поліклінік міста.
Президент Володимир Зеленський відреагував на удар по Львову, а також по Кривому Рогу, який теж опинився під атакою росіян.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · pdnreotosSm2Ju6f1a786f46ntc wh57uofa4651aituf5mu08gsitcu18g6 ·
Live Updates: Russian Strike Kills More Than 50 in Ukraine, Zelensky Says
Two ballistic missiles hit a military academy and a neighboring hospital in eastern Ukraine, the latest in a string of deadly Russian attacks.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · strSnepoodufw73c4sc60244lg96 9c0J0mi01lu4nc7fu3mough6l1gt512 · Extending the war onto the Russian Territory, General Syrskiy, architect of the Koursk operation
strSnepood1f473c47c60244lg96h9c0g0mi01lu4uc7fu3mhugh6l1gt512 · Ukraine’s brazen invasion of Russia has shined a brighter spotlight on its architect, Gen. Oleksandr Syrskiy, the 59-year-old who became Ukraine’s top military commander in February.
Ukraine General’s Plan Surprised the Russians—and His Own Troops
Gen. Oleksandr Syrskiy learned from Ukraine’s previous counteroffensive and kept its Russian incursion a secret
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/ukraine-general-oleksandr-syrskiy-russia-kursk-incursion-32965fb9?mod=e2fb&fbclid=IwY2xjawFA5tZleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHZsDrSmCVO1m9ZAfKTp31C8SubFfWT1fnJKuhPcSOJGJCXXFqRWE2GUGCw_aem__pTnc-iNQR1P_k4ak3gG1g
Published by Vladimir Melamed
Russia Pounds Ukraine With ‘One of the Largest Strikes’ of the War
President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned an assault of more than 200 missiles and drones that ranged from Kyiv to Odesa to Ukraine’s West. Energy infrastructure was again a target.
roeptnsdSo0027uhm423thg9i0aau210mft0i9mg83938gtu3ufht4g2utmh · Russia launched more than 200 missiles and drones across a wide swath of Ukraine on Monday, damaging energy facilities and sending residents of Kyiv into basements and subways to seek shelter. The assault was “one of the largest strikes” of the 30-month-old war, President Volodymyr Zelensky said. https://nyti.ms/4cJCa43
Ukraine in Kursk: a lesson in strategic audacity
- August 26, 2024
- Mick Ryan
- Themes: Ukraine, War
Ukraine's surprise offensive into Kursk has not only caught Russia off guard but also shocked its allies, exposing the contrast between Ukrainian boldness and the West's timidity.
Perfect analysis and highly warranted perspective:
Published by Vladimir Melamed · erpdoosStnh iJtcit03t041hchi67i1uugs7ontaf6cfu6t1lw39t7hftm1 · A perfect perspective from an independent journalist "For two weeks now, soldiers of what Russian President Vladimir Putin considers a “Nazi regime” have been pouring over the border in the first foreign occupation of Russia since World War II. Putin and his propaganda apparatus, from the media to schools to the scholars rewriting history books, have been drumming up this moment: the great threat to Russia’s very survival on par with the real Nazi invasion in 1941. No matter where they live or what they do, Russians cannot escape the constant barrage of World War II allegories beckoning them to mobilize against any invader."
erpdoosStnh1i1tci403t041hchi67i1uug67uhtaf6cf56t1lf39t7hftm1 · The response of most Russians to Ukraine’s offensive into Kursk, now entering its third week, has been a passive, fatalistic shrug, Alexey Kovalev writes.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · · Russia has always been a police state. Although not many ordinary Russians care about civil liberties. Follow the mainstream and do your own business. One can be perfectly fine if not interested in politics.
· US-Russian dual national jailed for 12 years on treason charges for $52 donation to Ukraine"YEKATERINBURG, Russia (AP) — U.S.-Russian dual national Ksenia Khavana was convicted Thursday of treason in a Russian court and sentenced to 12 years in prison on charges stemming from a donation of about $52 to a charity aiding Ukraine.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · snrSoedtoptamfn1f09a6497smui l2ih1J10mfutt9533l9030o98wcu430 · Ukraine’s Incursion Into Russia Flips the Script on Putin. The reality of 130,000 displaced Russians and a chaotic official response may begin to puncture the official line that Russia is steadily heading toward victory.
snrSoedtoptamfm1f09a6497hm2iul2ih1610mfutt9533l9030398gcu430 ·
To opposition-minded politicians, including some of the few remaining inside Russia, Ukraine’s incursion has offered a rare chance to puncture the Kremlin’s narrative that Russia is steadily heading toward victory.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · rSotpoends5hi0cl19mc7hwg156hhu4f4nJ7 28u8toist1229g47f96ct7f · Should Ukraine act like Israel in the time of war.Delays and restrictions weakened Ukrainian Army and the country's economic and military potential.Ukraine’s Kursk offensive appears to have been a major surprise for Ukraine’s Western partners who now support it. There would have no green light to such operation in advance.
rSotpoends5hi0cl19mc7h8g156hhu4f4077m28f8thi261229g47f96ct7f · #UkraineAlert – “Ukraine’s Kursk offensive has succeeded in demonstrating that surprise is still possible on the modern battlefield,” writes Mykola Bielieskov.“This is a significant achievement that underlines the skill and competence of the Ukrainian military.”
Published by Vladimir Melamed · pooSdnerstc7033wl3l3c0c0 7tcgfa827794J9n15to6435si0tmmfu118a · There should not have been the West imposed restrictions to use the long-range weapons and aviation for the Ukrainian counteroffensive operations.
oSenrpostdm81uaiaaut7ih538i2m1i5m6hg7au68lmgc1318fcl01lgfgum · #UkraineAlert – “Now that the Ukrainian military has crossed the last of Putin’s red lines and invaded Russia without sparking World War III, there are no more excuses for restricting Kyiv’s ability to defend itself,” writes Peter Dickinson.
The Ukrainian army’s advance into Russia has profound implications for perceptions of the war. It directly challenges the widespread belief that Russia’s invasion has reached a stalemate and can no longer be decided on the battlefield. Crucially, it also exposes the emptiness of Vladimir Putin’s red lines and the folly of the West’s emphasis on escalation management.
Ukrainian combat forces conduct military operations in the Russian territory.
Institute for the Study of War reports:
Geolocated footage and Russian claims indicate that Ukrainian forces continued rapid advances further into Kursk Oblast on August 8, and Ukrainian forces are reportedly present in areas as far as 35 kilometers from the international border with Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces most certainly do not control all of the territory within the maximalist extent of Russian claims about Ukrainian advances in Kursk Oblast
Memory in Action: Embracing the Past for the Future
Published by Vladimir Melamed · otpnodsSre7u3fu3 t4m61024g5cmg6g4m797a31ctw8his4743unhh0Jo13 · Units of the Ukrainian Army are waging combat operations in the Russian territory
otpnodsSre7u3fu36t4m61024g5cmg6g4m797a31ca78hi647436hhh05013 · Vladimir Putin is embarrassed by Ukraine’s incursion into Russia.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · noesrdotSpa132uctfia584f4908m3g1m1f5m141t10hl5tg3m211t9ml1h1 · Simple language understood by voters may unsaddle the Trump campaign. It was the word 'weird' that distinguished and as they say propelled Walz up to VP nomination
noesrdotSpa132uctfia584f4908m3g1m1f5m141t10hl5tg3h211t9ml1h1 · Tim Walz’s candidacy for the coveted Vice-Presidential slot on the Democratic ticket was propelled into being by a single word: “weird.” “These are weird people on the other side,” he said of Republicans, two days after Joe Biden dropped out of the Presidential race. Out of nowhere, it seemed that the former high-school teacher and football coach might have solved a riddle that had bedevilled the Democrats for nearly a decade.
Published by Vladimir Melamed · persdoSnot8151hg553g0tf6c4u05a9umiu3c18f096if591h03lahfh0fm4 ·
Fight Trump with his own weapon
Vice President Kamala Harris has chosen Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, a former high school teacher and National Guard member, as her running mate.
persdoSnot8151hg553g0tf6c4u05a9umiu3c18f096if297h03lahfh0fm4 · Vice President Kamala Harris has chosen Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, a former high school teacher and National Guard member, as her running mate. Walz brings Midwestern appeal to the Democratic ticket and a plain-spoken way of talking about Donald Trump. Here's a look at the new vice-presidential candidate. https://nyti.ms/3WUVNBz
The largest prisoner swap since the Cold War
Published by Vladimir Melamed · tnporeoSdsuut49uusf65ll1393w100f 97o0hc1Ju97cuun3hf2mt2018l6 · It is only one man whom Putin needed, namely the FSB spy, colonel Vadim Krasikov, convicted assassin of the Chechen decident. He was held in a German prison for life. Germany was reluctant to release him. As Chancellor Scholz said it to Biden: "I will do it for you."
tnporeoSdsuu449uuff65ll1393m100f897h0hc11u97c5u63hf2mt2018l6 · The eight Russians who returned home as part of a prisoner swap were convicted on charges including murder and espionage. Putin greeted them on the tarmac of a Moscow airport as heroes.
https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/putin-rolls-out-red-carpet-for-hackers-smugglers-and-spies-released-in-prisoner-swap-d97105b4?mod=e2fb&fbclid=IwY2xjawEaB15leHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHQbbWvpyE8YsEHcmGJD4RGPpbl8sEp9QsGGMhng2ZzAuh2ozEb4Db24IbQ_aem_J9MJR6MNafu-elA3Vq-d2g
Reuters is live now.
snootredpSf9952m3u11i27i8a65c6i7tfm4202a808047hcf3h73f61icmg · LIVE: Joe Biden greets prisoners released from Russia US President Joe Biden greets prisoners released from Russia upon their arrival in the United States.Russia freed US journalist Evan Gershkovich and ex-US Marine Paul Whelan as part of the biggest prisoner exchange of its kind since the end of the Cold War.The White House said the US had negotiated the trade with Russia, Germany and three other countries.The deal, negotiated in secrecy for more than a year, involved 24 prisoners, including 16 moving from Russia to the West and eight prisoners held in the West being sent back to Russia.
https://www.facebook.com/hashtag/paulwhelan
Some seven hour earlier Putin met the exchanged Russian operatives
Reuters was live.
· LIVE: Russian prisoners released in swap arrive in Moscow Russian prisoners released in an international exchange arrive in Moscow. The landmark prisoner swap is more than two years in the making, involving secret talks and complex diplomacy involving Germany, Russia and the United States, and other nations, which all had divergent interests.
· From Wall Street Journal Opinion : Israel has a right to defend itself, but more than that it has the right and ample cause to defeat the terrorists who won’t let it live in peace.
VM: Israel has reached its peak of geo-political and military rein in the Middle East, the war with Hamas evolved into a broad targeting of the Hamas military and political leaders. Owing to the ongoing military operations in Gaza, the assassinations become almost a routine. Geo-political situation with regard to other Arab nations and Iran is favorable for Israel.
· The historic prisoner swap that resulted in the release of US journalist Evan Gershkovich and 15 others was made possible by a personal promise German Chancellor Olaf Scholz made to US President Joe Biden
